Nigerija resno tvega, da se ne bo uvrstila na svetovno prvenstvo v nogometu 2026, ki bo naslednje poletje potekalo v Združenih državah Amerike, Mehiki in Kanadi. Super orli, daleč najbolj nadarjeni med afriškimi reprezentancami, se bodo v torek opoldne po vzhodnoameriškem času pomerili z Beninom v ključni tekmi za svoje upe na svetovno prvenstvo. To je zadnja tekma skupinskega dela kvalifikacij in trenutno so na tretjem mestu skupine C prvega kroga svetovnega prvenstva v nogometu 2026 Afriške nogometne konfederacije (CAF) s 14 točkami, medtem ko je Benin na vrhu skupine s 17, Južna Afrika pa na drugem mestu s 15 točkami po devetih tekmah.
Poleg tega je bilo letalo, ki je prevažalo nigerijsko reprezentanco iz Južne Afrike, v soboto prisiljeno zasilno pristati v Angoli, poroča nigerijski tisk. Letalo je vzletelo iz Polokwaneja v Južni Afriki in se v Angoli ustavilo za oskrbo z gorivom, preden je ponovno odletelo v Nigerijo, vendar se je 25 minut po vzletu letalo moralo vrniti v Angolo, potem ko je nigerijska nogometna zveza sporočila, da je "močna razpoka na vetrobranskem steklu letala popačila tisto, kar se je začelo kot gladek let". Oglejmo si zdaj, kaj se lahko zgodi, če zmagajo proti Beninu.
Oglejmo si scenarije pred Super Eagles.
Scenariji kvalifikacij za Nigerijo?
Če Nigerija v torek izgubi, bo uradno izpadla iz svetovnega prvenstva, Lamine Yamal dres kar bi verjetno pomenilo eno najnižjih točk afriške reprezentance glede na vrednost njihove ekipe. Zmaga je edina možnost, ki jo ima Nigerija pred torkovo tekmo, vendar jim tudi zmaga morda ne bo zagotovila neposredne uvrstitve na svetovno prvenstvo.
Benin trenutno vodi v skupini C s tremi točkami in ima dva gola prednosti v gol razliki. Teoretično bi lahko, če bi Nigerija Beninu povzročila dovolj hud poraz in če bi Južna Afrika izgubila, še vedno zasedla vrh skupine. FIFA je v začetku letošnjega leta Južnoafriško republiko kaznovala s tremi točkami, ker je proti Lesotu na igrišče postavila dodatnega igralca, kar je Bafani Bafani otežilo pot do svetovnega prvenstva 2026 in ohranilo upanje Nigerije na neposredno uvrstitev. Kljub temu so v torek nasprotniki Južne Afrike Ruanda, ki je že izpadla iz boja za naslov in je v skupini šestih ekip na petem mestu.
Če Ruanda tega ne stori, Nigerija pa zmaga in konča na drugem mestu v skupini, ne bo izpadla iz boja za naslov, vendar jo čaka dolga pot. Štiri prvouvrščene ekipe iz devetih kvalifikacijskih skupin bodo odigrale izločilni turnir, da bi ugotovile, katere od njih bodo napredovale v medcelinsko končnico. V tej končnici bo šestim ekipam, ki se bodo vanjo uvrstile, podeljena skupno dve mesti. Torej, če povzamemo, mora Nigerija zmagati, nato pa mora bodisi Ruanda premagati Južno Afriko, kar bi pomenilo, da se Nigerija samodejno uvrsti, bodisi mora upati, da se bo uvrstila med prve štiri od devetih drugouvrščenih v kvalifikacijah za CAF. Če se uvrstijo med najboljše štiri, morajo premagati tri druge ekipe, da se uvrstijo v medcelinsko končnico, kjer bodo zmagovalci turnirja šestih ekip dobili dve mesti. Preprosto.
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